Emmanuel macron, leader of the center-left en marche party, won france's presidential election on sunday, according to france24 and other outlets the french network projected the win as soon as polls closed, saying macron had won an estimated 65 percent of the vote following the initial results,. Unlike other systems for predicting election results, the keys do not assume a fixed relationship between election results and one more dependent variables, such as economic growth or presidential approval ratings rather predictions are based on an index comprised of the number of false or negative keys: when five or. Nate silver's predictions and polling data for the 2016 presidential election between hillary clinton and donald trump. Projections gave 39-year-old mr macron almost two thirds of the vote, showing a clear path to the élysée palace for the pro-eu centrist who was a french anti- riot police chase after small groups of protesters demonstrating after the results of the second round of the french presidential elections in paris. On friday morning donald trump dipped his presidential toe into french electoral politics, tweeting about the possible impact of the paris shooting on thursday that resulted in one police officer dead and two seriously wounded another terrorist attack in paris, mr trump wrote the people of france will.
This is my prediction for 2020 with facts and common sense. As with almost every big french election, belgian newspapers and broadcasters broke french rules and posted french projections an hour early, at 7 pm local time they projected that emmanuel macron had won the presidential election, garnering 63%-65% of the vote in france, media faced a legal. In the immediate aftermath of the 2016 presidential election, many observers understandably focused on the numerous places that swung from barack obama to donald trump because many of these areas congregated in swing states within the rust belt and midwest, they played a pivotal role in trump's. The upshot's elections model suggests that hillary clinton is favored to win the presidency, based on the latest state and national polls a victory by mr trump remains possible: mrs clinton's chance of losing is about the same as the probability that an nfl kicker misses a 37-yard field goal for months.
Election projection has been around in aggregating and projecting election results since 2003, and thus even longer than the pollyvote scott elliott, the website's founder, does not publish the method used to generate the projections election projection in the pollyvote pollyvote uses election projection as one of various. Compare the current 2016 electoral map projections of various political pundits use any of the maps to create and share your own 2016 forecast.
Independent centrist macron has defeated marine le pen by 6606% to 3394% according to the french interior ministry. No margin of error recorded for nebraska's congressional districts maine and nebraska both award 1 electoral vote per congressional district and 2 statewide electoral votes trump leads in nebraska's 1st and 3rd congressional districts, while clinton leads in maine's 1st congressional district nebraska's 2nd. All latest polls · 2016 election polls · 2016 presidential polls · 2016 senate polls · 2016 house polls · 2016 governor polls · presidential approval polls · generic congressional polls · 2016 gop nomination polls · 2016 dem nomination polls 2016 elections 2016 presidential elections · 2016 senate elections · 2016.